Why PMS Returns Look Great on Paper — And How Experienced Investors Read Between the Lines

Why PMS Returns Look Great on Paper — And How Experienced Investors Read Between the Lines

If you’ve spent any time reviewing PMS (Portfolio Management Services) presentations in India, you’ve seen the pattern. Clean charts. Eye-catching CAGR numbers. Selective time periods that make returns look heroic. On paper, many PMS strategies appear to beat the market comfortably.

Yet seasoned investors know a quiet truth: great-looking PMS returns don’t always translate into great investor outcomes.

The difference lies not in intelligence, but in interpretation. Professionals don’t reject PMS returns—they interrogate them. This article breaks down how experienced investors read PMS performance properly, what they discount, and what actually matters before allocating serious capital.

The PMS Illusion: Why the Numbers Look So Good

Portfolio Management Services sit in a unique regulatory and reporting space. Unlike mutual funds, PMS performance reporting allows more flexibility in presentation. That flexibility isn’t illegal—but it can be misleading if read at face value.

Here’s why PMS returns often shine on paper:

  • Returns are sometimes shown before fees
  • Performance periods may start after strategy inflection points
  • Model portfolios may not reflect actual client experience
  • Volatility and drawdowns are underplayed
  • Concentration risk is rarely highlighted upfront

None of this means PMS managers are dishonest. It means the onus of interpretation lies with the investor.

How Professionals Actually Read Portfolio Management Services Performance

Experienced investors don’t ask, “What return did you make?”
They ask, “How did you make it—and at what cost?”

Let’s unpack the lenses they use.

1. CAGR Without Context Is Just Marketing

A 25% CAGR looks impressive. Until you ask how it was achieved.

Professionals immediately check:

  • Time period chosen – Was it a bull-heavy phase?
  • Market regime – Was volatility unusually supportive?
  • Starting point bias – Did the track record begin post drawdown?

A PMS launched after a market crash often shows stellar early returns simply because the recovery did the heavy lifting.

Professional takeaway:
Returns without cycle context are incomplete information.

2. Drawdowns Matter More Than Upside

Retail investors focus on upside. Professionals obsess over drawdowns.

Two PMS strategies may both show 20% CAGR—but one may have suffered a 45% drawdown, while the other capped losses at 18%.

That difference changes everything:

  • Investor behaviour
  • Capital compounding
  • Ability to stay invested

Professionals ask:

  • What was the maximum drawdown?
  • How long did recovery take?
  • Was capital protected during stress periods?

A PMS that falls 50% needs a 100% gain just to break even. That’s not a statistic—it’s math.

3. Concentration Risk: The Silent Return Killer

Many high-performing PMS strategies run very concentrated portfolios—sometimes 8–12 stocks.

This boosts short-term returns when bets go right. It also magnifies downside risk when they don’t.

Professionals examine:

  • Top 3 and top 5 stock weightage
  • Sector concentration
  • Correlation between holdings

A PMS that outperforms because one stock tripled is not the same as one that compounds steadily across cycles.

Experienced view:
Concentration-driven outperformance is fragile unless backed by exceptional risk control.

4. Gross vs Net Returns: The Fee Reality Check

PMS fees in India are materially higher than mutual funds:

  • Fixed fees
  • Performance-linked fees
  • Brokerage and churn costs

Yet many PMS decks still highlight gross returns.

Professionals mentally haircut returns by:

  • Management fees
  • Performance fees
  • Tax impact
  • Trading costs

A 22% gross return can quickly become 14–15% net. That gap compounds over time—just not in your favour.

5. Portfolio Turnover Tells a Bigger Story Than Stock Names

High turnover often signals:

  • Tactical trading
  • Market timing dependency
  • Higher transaction costs

Low turnover suggests:

  • Conviction-led investing
  • Patience
  • Lower behavioural risk

Professionals don’t just ask what stocks a PMS owns. They ask:

  • How often are positions exited?
  • Is performance driven by trading or compounding?

Trading brilliance looks good in PPTs. Compounding discipline looks good in bank statements.

6. Survivorship Bias: What You’re Not Being Shown

A subtle but powerful distortion.

Many Portfolio Management Services:

  • Highlight top-performing strategies
  • Quietly close or merge underperforming ones
  • Reset benchmarks after poor periods

Professionals ask uncomfortable questions:

  • How many strategies were launched and shut?
  • How did the PMS perform during bad years?
  • What happened to early investors during drawdowns?

If the story sounds too clean, it usually is.

7. Manager Dependence and Key-Person Risk

In PMS, the fund manager is the product.

Professionals evaluate:

  • Decision-making authority
  • Succession planning
  • Team depth
  • Process vs personality

If performance depends entirely on one individual, risk increases—not decreases—with scale.

Experienced investors prefer repeatable processes over star-driven narratives.

PMS vs Investor Behaviour: The Hidden Gap

Here’s the most inconvenient truth:
Most investors don’t experience the PMS returns shown on paper.

Why?

  • They enter after strong performance
  • They exit during drawdowns
  • They underestimate volatility
  • They overestimate their own patience

Professionals know this and size allocations accordingly. PMS is rarely a “core” holding. It’s a satellite allocation, meant to complement not replace broader portfolio structures.

When Portfolio Management Services Make Sense for Experienced Investors

PMS can add value when:

  • Portfolio size justifies customization
  • Investor understands volatility
  • Time horizon exceeds one market cycle
  • Strategy offers genuine differentiation
  • Allocation size is disciplined

It works best when treated as one tool among many—not the hero of the portfolio.

When PMS Disappoints

PMS often disappoint when:

  • Chosen purely on past returns
  • Allocated too aggressively
  • Entered late in the performance cycle
  • Used as a substitute for asset allocation
  • Expectations are misaligned with reality

Professionals avoid disappointment by aligning PMS role clearly upfront.

Closing Perspective

PMS returns look great on paper because paper is forgiving. Markets are not.

Experienced investors don’t ignore PMS performance; they decode it. They strip away presentation, fees, timing bias, and behavioural assumptions to understand what’s real, repeatable, and sustainable.

The real skill isn’t finding high returns.
It’s knowing which returns you can actually live through.

Read beyond the return chart. Invest with clarity.

At AltPort Funds, we help investors evaluate PMS strategies the way seasoned allocators do—factoring in drawdowns, behaviour, portfolio fit, and long-term outcomes. Because true wealth isn’t built on impressive numbers, but on decisions you can stick with through every market cycle.